Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.001130 0.001223 0.001323 0.001437 0.001565 0.001705 0.001869
2026-02-01 0.000962 0.001082 0.001217 0.001381 0.001576 0.001803 0.002090
2026-02-08 0.000857 0.000990 0.001144 0.001340 0.001583 0.001881 0.002278
2026-02-15 0.000790 0.000932 0.001102 0.001324 0.001611 0.001978 0.002491
2026-02-22 0.000729 0.000873 0.001051 0.001290 0.001609 0.002030 0.002646
2026-03-01 0.000670 0.000813 0.000993 0.001240 0.001578 0.002038 0.002734
2026-03-08 0.000632 0.000777 0.000962 0.001222 0.001587 0.002098 0.002900
2026-03-15 0.000596 0.000741 0.000929 0.001198 0.001583 0.002137 0.003038
2026-03-22 0.000549 0.000688 0.000870 0.001132 0.001516 0.002077 0.003012
2026-03-29 0.000520 0.000657 0.000839 0.001106 0.001501 0.002094 0.003110
2026-04-05 0.000509 0.000650 0.000840 0.001124 0.001554 0.002218 0.003396
2026-04-12 0.000492 0.000635 0.000828 0.001122 0.001576 0.002293 0.003608
2026-04-19 0.000531 0.000699 0.000937 0.001311 0.001921 0.002948 0.005008
2026-04-26 0.000496 0.000659 0.000890 0.001261 0.001877 0.002938 0.005142
2026-05-03 0.000468 0.000626 0.000854 0.001225 0.001851 0.002959 0.005342
2026-05-10 0.000448 0.000605 0.000834 0.001211 0.001863 0.003048 0.005702
2026-05-17 0.000426 0.000579 0.000804 0.001181 0.001843 0.003074 0.005929
2026-05-24 0.000402 0.000549 0.000768 0.001136 0.001793 0.003037 0.006000
2026-05-31 0.000387 0.000532 0.000749 0.001120 0.001794 0.003099 0.006325
2026-06-07 0.000371 0.000513 0.000727 0.001099 0.001781 0.003134 0.006588
2026-06-14 0.000348 0.000482 0.000686 0.001041 0.001696 0.003008 0.006407
2026-06-21 0.000334 0.000465 0.000665 0.001017 0.001675 0.003016 0.006589
2026-06-28 0.000329 0.000462 0.000667 0.001033 0.001732 0.003201 0.007311